Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.012833 0.014504 0.016200 0.018042 0.019982 0.021958 0.024119
2025-05-04 0.009183 0.011691 0.014372 0.017418 0.020751 0.024262 0.028213
2025-05-11 0.007303 0.010320 0.013690 0.017648 0.022100 0.026891 0.032384
2025-05-18 0.005742 0.009033 0.012868 0.017512 0.022857 0.028714 0.035526
2025-05-25 0.004317 0.007689 0.011806 0.016949 0.023002 0.029744 0.037687
2025-06-01 0.003255 0.006636 0.010969 0.016542 0.023233 0.030793 0.039798
2025-06-08 0.002399 0.005718 0.010198 0.016131 0.023392 0.031704 0.041700
2025-06-15 0.001852 0.005144 0.009807 0.016136 0.024002 0.033098 0.044119
2025-06-22 0.001272 0.004395 0.009106 0.015694 0.024028 0.033778 0.045687
2025-06-29 0.000717 0.003517 0.008129 0.014827 0.023482 0.033742 0.046392
2025-07-06 0.000330 0.002755 0.007225 0.013988 0.022919 0.033647 0.046992
2025-07-13 0.000207 0.002540 0.007133 0.014232 0.023707 0.035160 0.049467
2025-07-20 0.000040 0.001985 0.006490 0.013775 0.023710 0.035870 0.051184
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001461 0.005818 0.013257 0.023649 0.036538 0.052910
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001239 0.005656 0.013463 0.024527 0.038356 0.056009
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000957 0.005301 0.013344 0.024951 0.039595 0.058400
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000631 0.004739 0.012852 0.024838 0.040140 0.059932
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000401 0.004292 0.012497 0.024882 0.040862 0.061663
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000225 0.003871 0.012140 0.024898 0.041530 0.063311
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000138 0.003675 0.012144 0.025410 0.042822 0.065718
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000045 0.003281 0.011760 0.025345 0.043358 0.067181
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.002725 0.011009 0.024713 0.043133 0.067683
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.002225 0.010286 0.024081 0.042881 0.068130